I guess I should be hoping to have a reduced frequency of downswings, but yes I need to mentally prepare for them. I think you're right, I shouldn't be thinking of downswings as breakeven stretches because a 10BI downswing is a TEN BUYIN downswing and if I'm in one, I'm losing 10BIs. I have indeed seen for myself (via primedope's Variance calculator), that even 10bb/100 crushers have plenty of +10BI downswings. I also really appreciate this and need you to keep following/commenting these super helpful things so I can stay based in reality. Just trying to bring reality, dreaming is nice but the dream must still be based on real assumptions. I wouldn’t expect downswings to be breakeven stretches just because you crush, this is as real as Santa and will set your mindset for a big mess when the inevitable rough patch comes.

Re downswings, 10 bb/100 crushers should see plenty of 10 bi downswings, 20 bi will happen frequently enough, and you should see your odd 30 bi ds once a year or so if you put professional volume. I know the general recommendation is 20-30 buyins at your given stake, so I made it my goal to win around that much to move up or have a +5EVbb/100 winrate over XX,XXX amount of hands. That's why I've been looking at it more from a standpoint of 'am I a winner at this stake?'. My full time job pretty much makes the buyins at these stakes not an issue probably up 200NL, and even then it would be more about me not liking to be slinging around multiple $200 stacks rather than it being actual financial pressure on my real life. I'm guessing there is less fish at 50NL than 25NL? Or are the regs just better on average there?Īs for BRM, poker is pretty much a side hobby right now with climbing through microstakes being the main goal. I see, I wasn't really considering when CFP teams would start appearing.

Use BRM, move up with confidence and move down when the necessity comes, no attachments to any limit The bulk of the cfp guys start to appear at 50nl. Ignition and bodog are pretty soft all the way til 25nl.

Is ignition casino down